Fairness · Trustworthy AI · Insurance

Research

Statistical learning for settings where a prediction has consequences: fairness, calibration and labelling, mostly in insurance and finance.

Predictive models in insurance and finance are often trained on data that already encodes historical inequality, and then deployed in settings where the decision matters a great deal to the person on the other side. Two questions follow from that. First: given a model you already have, how do you correct its discriminatory behaviour, for one protected attribute or several at once, and what does the correction provably cost you in accuracy? Second: when labels are scarce and expensive, which observations should you pay to label, and how does that choice feed back into fairness?

Underneath both sits a third concern: whether the numbers a model produces mean anything. A score that is well ranked but badly calibrated is not a probability, and a fairness correction applied on top of it can quietly destroy what calibration there was. Probability calibration and Bayesian statistics are the tools I use for that part.

The methods are mostly optimal transport, Wasserstein barycenters, semi-supervised learning, calibration and Bayesian inference; the applications are motor and health insurance pricing, mortality scoring, ESG text analysis and epidemic early-warning. Work in the R&D AI Lab at Milliman extends this to generative AI, where the same questions reappear with different vocabulary.

Themes

Lines of work

Algorithmic fairness

Optimal-transport methods that correct discrimination in predictive models, for one sensitive attribute or several at once, with statistical guarantees on what accuracy that costs.

  • Wasserstein barycenters
  • demographic parity
  • multi-class
  • EquiPy

Trustworthy AI for insurance

Pricing, scoring and mortality models that regulators and policyholders can actually scrutinise: interpretability, privacy and bias auditing on real actuarial portfolios.

  • interpretability
  • privacy
  • actuarial science
  • model risk

Probability calibration

A score is only useful if its numbers mean what they claim. Recalibrating predicted probabilities so that they match observed frequencies, and keeping them calibrated once a fairness correction has been applied on top.

  • calibration
  • reliability
  • proper scoring rules
  • post-processing

Bayesian statistics

Latent variable models, variational inference and MCMC, used both as a research tool for uncertainty quantification and as the backbone of the Bayesian machine learning course I teach.

  • Bayesian inference
  • latent variable models
  • MCMC
  • uncertainty

NLP, LLMs and generative AI

Extracting structure from unstructured text: ESG concepts in corporate reporting, early signals of infectious disease outbreaks, and retrieval- augmented systems for insurance.

  • LLM
  • RAG
  • topic models
  • ESG

Semi-supervised & active learning

When labels are expensive, which ones should you buy? Sampling and labelling strategies that keep both cost and bias under control.

  • active learning
  • labelling
  • sampling
  • semi-supervised

Publications

Papers & preprints

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  1. A sequentially fair mechanism for multiple sensitive attributes

    F. Hu, P. Ratz, A. Charpentier

    AAAI 2024Covered by the Montreal AI Ethics Institute

    A sequential Wasserstein-barycenter approach that mitigates unfairness across several sensitive attributes at once, with an interpretable fairness path.

  2. Fairness guarantee in multi-class classification

    C. Denis, R. Elie, M. Hebiri, F. Hu

    Journal of Machine Learning Research (JMLR)

    Optimal fair classifiers under demographic parity for multi-class problems, with statistical guarantees on the fairness/accuracy trade-off.

  3. Parametric fairness with statistical guarantees

    F. Hu, P. Ratz, A. Charpentier

    Preprint, arXiv

  4. Mitigating discrimination in insurance with Wasserstein barycenters

    A. Charpentier, F. Hu, P. Ratz

    BIAS 2023

    How optimal-transport fairness corrections behave on real insurance pricing data, and what they cost in premium accuracy.

  5. Fairness in multi-task learning via Wasserstein barycenters

    F. Hu, P. Ratz, A. Charpentier

    ECML-PKDD 2023, Research Track

    Extends optimal-transport post-processing for demographic parity to simultaneous regression and binary classification tasks.

  6. Semi-supervised learning in insurance: fairness and labelling

    F. Hu

    PhD thesis, Institut Polytechnique de Paris (CREST-ENSAE)Awarded best actuarial thesis in France (SCOR Prize 2022)

    A learning system for insurance that is accurate in prediction, cheap in labelling and ethical in transparency and fairness.

  7. An overview of active learning methods for insurance with fairness appreciation

    R. Elie, C. Hillairet, F. Hu, M. Juillard

    Preprint, arXiv

Talks

Selected presentations

  • March 2024

    Algorithmic fairness for multiple sensitive attributes, with applications in insurance

    Risk Forum

  • February 2024

    A sequentially fair mechanism for multiple sensitive attributes

    AAAI-24

  • 22 Sep 2023

    Mitigating discrimination in insurance

    BIAS 2023

  • 21 Sep 2023

    Fairness in multi-task learning via Wasserstein barycenters

    ECML-PKDD 2023

  • 07 Feb 2023

    Fairness and labelling for multi-class problems: application

    Institut des Actuaires

  • 15 Jun 2022

    PhD defence: semi-supervised learning in insurance, fairness and labelling

    Institut Polytechnique de Paris

  • 28 Apr 2020

    Efficient labelling with active learning

    OICA

  • 29 Nov 2019

    Active learning for the detection of categories in text fields

    100% Data Science

Talk list last curated in March 2024. The CV has the complete record.

Collaborations

I supervise research internships and co-author with academic and industry teams. If your problem involves fairness, labelling or trustworthy models in a regulated setting, I would be glad to hear about it.